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Market Commentary – January 2020

First of all, we would like to take the opportunity to wish you all a happy new year! Throughout 2019, our updates sought to outline and discuss our prevailing view that, despite undeniable existence of several (potentially significant) headwinds, investors should remain cautiously optimistic about the medium to long term prospects for markets. This view

Current market view

In 2017, we experienced a relatively benign year for investors with diversified portfolios. Returns were solid, with the typical Balanced super fund returning about 10% and volatility was low. So coming into 2018 confidence was high. But what transpired was an increase in volatility and in October and November, a strong correction in share prices

Investment Market Update – Feb 2017

January 2017 was perhaps more remarkable for its political headlines than for excitement in investment markets. Newly elected U.S. President, Donald Trump wasted no time in beginning his reform agenda after his inauguration on January 20, almost immediately imposing immigration restrictions and withdrawing the United States from the controversial Trans-Pacific Partnership. Europe Equity markets picked

2016 Review and Outlook for 2017

2016 Review: some surprising events but ok overall 2016 will undoubtedly be remembered as a year of unexpected outcomes, particularly in a political context. The sudden rise of “populist politics” delivered a number of surprising vote outcomes around the world including the election of Donald Trump as the 45th President of the United States and

The ‘Trump Effect’ on markets – what to expect

Despite being consistently written off as having little or no chance of defeating his opponent, Hillary Clinton, Donald Trump won the recent US Presidential Election and will succeed Barack Obama in late January 2017 to become the 45th President of the United States. In this article, we take a look at what impact Trump’s presidency

Australian bank reporting season

When do banks report their profits? Companies report their annual profits soon after their financial year end. The CBA has a 30 June year end and has therefore already reported their results back in August. The other 3 major banks (Westpac, ANZ and NAB) all have a 30 September year end and report their results

Australian Company Reporting Season Update

We are currently in the midst of the mid-year Australian company reporting season. Listed companies with a 30 June year end date must report their profit results to the market by the end of August 2016. Our expectations for this profit season are as follows: Banks The major banks have all reported now, and as

Life after Brexit

It has been an interesting month since Britain unexpectedly voted to leave the European Union (EU). In this newsletter, we discuss some of the expected implications of this significant event on world investment markets. Markets, particularly in the UK and Europe, fell sharply immediately after the result of the vote became clear. We believe that

Brexit and other investment market themes

Investment markets in the first half of the 2016 calendar year have been characterised by high levels of volatility. It is normal for markets to experience such ups and downs in the context of sustained global economic and political uncertainty. This is particularly so in the lead up to significant events. Historically, markets have tended

Is the current market rally sustainable

Market analysts often talk about bull markets (i.e. when share prices are rising strongly) and bear markets (i.e. when share prices are falling, and more importantly, when they’re at risk of falling even further). It may come as no surprise that since the end of the Global Financial Crisis (March 2009) our market has typically